https://www.lineameteo.it/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=12736&p=348265#p348265
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burjan
Sab 27 Dic, 2014 20:49

Re: L'inverno sale in cattedra: freddo e neve in arrivo. Focus previsionale 28-31 Dicembre 2014
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Ogni promessa è debito. Ecco il meteogramma tarato per coordinate intermedie fra Castello e San Giustino. 

Non ci sono molti commenti da fare. In base a GFS12 avreste uno stau imperiale e termiche tali da assicurare neve senza se e senza ma fin dall'inizio. I 2-3 gradi iniziali non devono spaventare, con precipitazioni di tal fatta. 
Vi ho evidenziato in viola le fasi occlusive e frontali, con velocità ascendenti diffuse lungo tutta la colonna d'aria. 
Beati voi. 
Spero non accada come molti anni fa, quando preconizzai a Fabio un metro di neve, non gli fece una beneamata m. Ogni volta che mi vede me lo chiede. 

GFS#                                                      
 Latitude: 43.50 Longitude:  12.20 &               
 DATA INITIAL TIME: 27 DEC 2014 12Z&
 CALCULATION STARTED AT: 28 DEC 2014 00Z&
 HOURS OF CALCULATION:          120 &

[tt]
[size=10]FIELD  REL HUMIDITY   W-WIND         REL HUMIDITY   W-WIND         TEMPERATURE    HEIGHT        WIND DIRECTION WIND SPEED     
LEVEL    850 MB         850 MB         700 MB         700 MB         975 MB         975 MB           10 M           10 M 
UNITS      PCT            HPA/H          PCT            HPA/H          DEGC            DM            DEG            KTS  
 HR
+  0.     82.6           -2.6           72.0           -8.6            3.9           18.7          260.8            6.0
+  3.     78.6           -7.6           60.9           -7.6            2.8           18.6          248.0            5.2
+  6.     84.2          -15.7           68.3          -18.0            2.9           19.1          255.8            5.0
+  9.     79.5          -28.1           76.6           -9.4            3.1           19.8          274.4            5.3
[color=#FF00A5]+ 12.     80.4          -54.9           79.6          -43.6            4.2           19.7          332.3            7.1
+ 15.     90.2          -49.4           94.5          -12.1            3.2           22.3            7.1           11.8[/color]
[color=#BF00FF]+ 18.     84.3          -37.3           83.0            8.6            1.7           25.7           20.5           16.3
+ 21.     84.1          -48.7           73.3          -10.4            1.0           28.6           31.5           17.3
+ 24.     88.8          -49.9           84.4          -16.1            0.5           32.0           31.5           16.2[/color]
+ 27.     81.4          -43.0           70.9           -6.8           -0.6           33.8           25.6           13.7
+ 30.     64.6          -35.4           43.3          -12.0           -1.4           36.0           24.8           12.3
+ 33.     54.9          -15.6           19.7           -0.2           -0.6           38.0           32.7           12.0
+ 36.     46.7            6.4           17.6           14.6            0.9           38.1           24.7           10.7
+ 39.     21.1            3.1           17.9            7.9            0.3           37.4          357.1            4.7
+ 42.     17.8           -1.9           15.0           -2.6           -1.0           37.8          340.0            3.2
+ 45.     15.7           -6.9           39.8          -13.1           -1.0           38.1          349.7            2.8
+ 48.     42.4          -25.5           84.7          -15.3           -1.5           38.4            8.0            5.8
[color=#FF00FF]+ 51.     88.0          -26.7           92.0          -20.0           -1.3           38.7           35.7           11.0[/color]
[color=#0000FF]+ 54.     68.8          -23.3           90.0            1.9           -1.8           40.4           52.3           18.0
+ 57.     78.2          -24.9           74.0            5.5           -2.5           41.5           50.0           21.4
+ 60.     82.7          -21.4           82.8            2.5           -2.9           41.6           47.5           21.6
+ 63.     89.6          -23.7           91.0            5.1           -3.8           41.3           43.8           18.0
+ 66.     93.6          -45.2           98.1           -5.9           -4.5           41.7           40.9           14.9
+ 69.     90.5          -34.0           83.8            7.5           -5.0           42.5           43.5           16.3
+ 72.     90.9          -24.3           75.1           10.9           -5.2           41.6           36.2           15.5
+ 75.     92.7          -22.2           59.0           18.1           -5.3           41.1           33.7           15.8
+ 78.     94.8          -20.2           45.0           24.1           -5.3           40.9           34.8           16.7
+ 81.     96.9          -28.6           44.3           12.5           -4.6           41.6           40.2           20.8
+ 84.     97.0          -33.8           55.2           -5.3           -4.0           40.3           38.1           21.2
+ 87.     93.6          -29.3           67.4           12.6           -4.2           39.7           35.5           17.4
+ 90.     88.8          -43.6           65.2            9.9           -4.7           39.5           32.5           14.9
+ 93.     83.6          -40.4           67.4            5.3           -4.3           39.6           29.9           13.2
+ 96.     83.4          -42.2           81.8          -10.0           -3.5           39.3           28.0           11.2
+ 99.     85.7          -44.5           80.6           -2.6           -3.0           39.7           27.4           11.3[/color]
+102.     70.5          -37.1           68.0            0.8           -2.8           40.9           28.7           10.8
+105.     59.8          -31.3           28.4            0.2           -1.5           42.8           34.1           13.0
+108.     63.7          -28.3            9.2           -5.1           -0.7           43.1           30.8           13.0
+111.     53.7          -20.9            7.7            4.8           -1.3           43.4           24.2           10.3
+114.     38.5          -16.1            9.4            5.7           -2.9           44.0           17.0            7.5
+117.     40.0          -19.2           14.5            1.9           -3.5           45.4           10.1            6.7
+120.     39.6          -11.1           19.3            6.1           -3.2           45.6            7.0            6.0[/size]
[/tt]


